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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 16
Jan 22, 2025 at 5pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
2 - 1
Al Shabab

Al-Oboud (32'), Benzema (45+3')
Pereira (17'), Al-Shanqeeti (35')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Camara (45+5')
Hoedt (60'), Al-Thani (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Shabab, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ittihad 4-1 Al Raed
Thursday, January 16 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 2-1 Al Riyadh
Wednesday, January 15 at 3.05pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 3-1 Al Shabab

The hosts enter this encounter in red-hot form, unbeaten in their last 15 games across all competitions, with 10 league wins. Although Al Ittihad have struggled against the visitors in recent meetings, losing the last two, their remarkable form should override this, with a flawless home record further strengthening their advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 0-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Shabab
50.43% (-0.344 -0.34) 23.94% (0.169 0.17) 25.63% (0.173 0.17)
Both teams to score 55.84% (-0.395 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-0.6 -0.6)45.7% (0.598 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-0.574 -0.57)68.03% (0.57299999999999 0.57)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.83% (-0.361 -0.36)18.17% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.84% (-0.617 -0.62)49.16% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)31.76% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81% (-0.209 -0.21)68.18% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 50.43%
    Al Shabab 25.63%
    Draw 23.93%
Al IttihadDrawAl Shabab
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.137 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 50.43%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 25.63%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab

Al Ittihad
Draw
Al Shabab
Al Ittihad
88.5%
Draw
3.8%
Al Shabab
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 29
Al Ittihad
1-3
Al Shabab
Hamdallah (58')
Haji (18')
Diallo (48'), Carlos (82'), Al-Juwayr (90+10')
Sharahili (41'), Kanabah (52'), Al-Monassar (90+7')
Nov 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Al Shabab
1-0
Al Ittihad
Carlos (14')
Cuellar (45+2'), Banega (61'), Al-Monassar (73'), Al-Muwallad (83'), Saiss (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad25194259243561
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal25183472284457
3Al-Nassr25156453272651
4Al Quadisiya25163637211651
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli25153748252348
6Al ShababAl Shabab25134847301743
7Al Ettifaq25105103236-435
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun259792724334
9Al Riyadh2596102735-833
10Al Kholood2594123447-1331
11Al Khaleej2586113037-730
12Damac2576123041-1127
13Al Orubah2582152250-2826
14Al Fayha25510101832-1425
15Al Fateh2564152749-2222
16Al Okhdood2555152540-1520
17Al WahdaAl Wahda2555153054-2420
18Al RaedAl Raed2553172846-1818


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