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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Cheltenham
0 - 1
Plymouth


Long (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whittaker (78')
Lonwijk (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

With both sides in patchy form, it is difficult to call this encounter with much conviction, but ultimately, the quality of the league leaders should tell. Plymouth have suffered with defensive injuries of late, so we can see the home side getting on the scoresheet, but the firepower of the division's top scorers should prove too much. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
33.06% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 25.37% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 41.57% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)47.94% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)70.12% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)27.64% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (-0.124 -0.12)63.18% (0.123 0.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)56.71% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 33.06%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.57%
    Draw 25.37%
Cheltenham TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.06%
1-1 @ 12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.57%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Plymouth

Cheltenham Town
13.6%
Draw
13.6%
Plymouth Argyle
72.7%
22
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Cheltenham
2-0
Plymouth
Reid (56', 77')
May (81')

Cooper (87')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Plymouth
0-2
Cheltenham
Varney (40'), Aimson (91' og.)
Doyle-Hayes (18'), Varney (50'), Raglan (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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