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Championship header 2

League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
MK Dons

Cheltenham
0 - 0
MK Dons


Sercombe (70')
FT

Johnson (52'), Harvie (55'), Jules (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

MK Dons

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-2 MK Dons
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-0 MK Dons

 Cheltenham Town have been solid at home so far this season, and we expect them to grind out another one-goal victory in this one. Even though MK Dons recorded a good win away at Charlton on Tuesday, it is too early to say whether they will turn around their poor start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawMK Dons
33.58% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 28.06% (0.004999999999999 0) 38.36% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.43% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)58.62% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)79.17% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.63% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.82%69.17% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)29.6% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)65.64% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 33.57%
    MK Dons 38.35%
    Draw 28.05%
Cheltenham TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.57%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.66% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.05%
0-1 @ 11.75%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 38.35%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs MK Dons

Cheltenham Town
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
MK Dons
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
MK Dons
1-2
Cheltenham
Jules (43')
Oyegoke (7'), Gyamfi (17')
May (8' pen.), Brown (54')
Raglan (12'), Horton (33'), Barkers (42')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
Boyle (89')
May (72')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
1-1
MK Dons
Joseph (14')
Blair (39'), Hussey (45'), Freestone (84')
Boateng (87')
Darling (61'), Boateng (87')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Cheltenham
3-1
MK Dons
Atangana (14'), Barnett (44'), Clements (86')
Clements (50')
Aneke (22')
Aneke (33'), Cisse (57')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
3-0
Cheltenham
Aneke (34'), Healey (84'), Simpson (99' pen.)

Maddox (98')
rhs 2.0
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