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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium MK
Cheltenham Town

MK Dons
3 - 1
Cheltenham

Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Boyle (89')
May (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Having lost once in their last five games in all competitions, MK Dons will be confident of collecting all three points on Wednesday, and we think that they will profit against a Cheltenham side that are currently on a poor run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
61.4%21.98%16.63%
Both teams to score 48.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5%48.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37%70.63%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7%15.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.98%44.02%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.59%42.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.21%78.79%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 61.39%
    Cheltenham Town 16.63%
    Draw 21.97%
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 6.14%
4-0 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.63%
5-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.97%
0-1 @ 5.57%
1-2 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 16.63%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Cheltenham

MK Dons
90.6%
Draw
9.4%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
1-1
MK Dons
Joseph (14')
Blair (39'), Hussey (45'), Freestone (84')
Boateng (87')
Darling (61'), Boateng (87')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Cheltenham
3-1
MK Dons
Atangana (14'), Barnett (44'), Clements (86')
Clements (50')
Aneke (22')
Aneke (33'), Cisse (57')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
3-0
Cheltenham
Aneke (34'), Healey (84'), Simpson (99' pen.)

Maddox (98')
Jan 31, 2009 3pm
Cheltenham
3-5
MK Dons
Spencer (68', 75', 81' pen.)
Owusu (37')
Johnson (17', 71'), Wilbraham (44', 45', 59')
Gueret (68'), Stirling (80'), Puncheon (90')
Oct 25, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Gerba (9', 80'), Baldock (55' pen.)
Stirling (25')
Gueret (30')
Caines (26')
Owusu (54'), Westlake (71')
Owusu (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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