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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Portsmouth

Plymouth
1 - 0
Portsmouth

Obafemi (82')
Whittaker (4'), Gray (25'), Gyabi (34'), Pleguezuelo (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lang (67'), Botts (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Portsmouth

Neither of these two sides have enjoyed the best of starts to the 2024-25 campaign, but we believe the home advantage could play a major role in helping Plymouth Argyle get over the line with a crucial win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
37.41% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 24.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 38.58% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 61.44% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)40.91% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)63.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.91% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)55.17% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (0.027000000000001 0.03)21.33% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (0.038000000000004 0.04)54.29% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 37.41%
    Portsmouth 38.58%
    Draw 24.01%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.41%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38.58%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Portsmouth

Plymouth Argyle
68.1%
Draw
13.0%
Portsmouth
18.8%
69
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Plymouth
3-1
Portsmouth
Cosgrove (24'), Azaz (70'), Hardie (90+4')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Koroma (41'), Hackett-Fairchild (90+4')
Raggett (74' og.), Ennis (79')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Plymouth
1-0
Portsmouth
Hardie (65')
Sessegnon (43'), Cooper (90+5')

Romeo (33'), Thompson (34')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Brown (6'), Raggett (90+5')
Raggett (19'), Curtis (24'), Harness (32')
Hardie (48', 80')
Grant (4'), Edwards (32'), Houghton (45+1')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Curtis (86'), Bolton (87')
Cannon (72'), Naylor (84')
Jephcott (71', 82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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