Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Portsmouth |
37.41% ( -0.02) | 24.01% ( -0) | 38.58% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 61.44% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.09% ( 0.02) | 40.91% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.7% ( 0.02) | 63.3% ( -0.02) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( -0) | 21.91% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% ( -0) | 55.17% ( 0.01) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.67% ( 0.03) | 21.33% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.72% ( 0.04) | 54.29% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Portsmouth |
2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.41% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
> Championship Full Table |