We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
While Vitoria have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning the last seven encounters, their current struggles to turn draws into victories could shift this one toward a more balanced outcome.
Estoril's recent form suggests they will put up a strong challenge, but with both teams having their strengths and weaknesses, a stalemate feels like the most likely result.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.