Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Estoril Praia |
50.12% ( 0.47) | 24.81% ( 0.11) | 25.07% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.13% ( -0.94) | 49.86% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.13% ( -0.85) | 71.86% ( 0.84) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.09% ( -0.18) | 19.91% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.95% ( -0.29) | 52.04% ( 0.29) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% ( -1) | 34.45% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.83% ( -1.08) | 71.16% ( 1.07) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.11% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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