Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
46.17% ( -0.45) | 26.51% ( 0.09) | 27.31% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 49.26% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.98% ( -0.12) | 55.01% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.72% ( -0.1) | 76.28% ( 0.1) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% ( -0.26) | 23.79% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.05% ( -0.38) | 57.94% ( 0.38) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.63% ( 0.23) | 35.37% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.87% ( 0.23) | 72.13% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.17% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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