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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Casa Pia

Estoril
2 - 0
Casa Pia

Geraldes (32' pen.), Gouveia (77')
Mexer (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Varela (31'), Brice Eteki (41'), Soares (64'), Cuca (72'), Martins (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, January 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Setubal 0-1 Casa Pia
Thursday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Casa Pia

Fresh off the back of an impressive cup display, Casa Pia will head into Monday with sky-high confidence as they look to move into the European qualification places. The visitors take on an out-of-sorts Estoril Praia side and we are tipping them to come away with another close victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawCasa Pia
23.3% (-0.187 -0.19) 25.58% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 51.11% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.36% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-0.503 -0.5)54.4% (0.503 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22% (-0.422 -0.42)75.77% (0.42099999999999 0.42)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)38.54% (0.456 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (-0.439 -0.44)75.29% (0.437 0.44)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (-0.166 -0.17)21.31% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (-0.257 -0.26)54.26% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 23.3%
    Casa Pia 51.1%
    Draw 25.58%
Estoril PraiaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.056 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.77% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.83% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 12.69% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 9.81% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.06% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 51.1%

How you voted: Estoril vs Casa Pia

Estoril Praia
11.1%
Draw
18.5%
Casa Pia
70.4%
27
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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