Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
35.45% ( 0.22) | 27.58% ( 0.06) | 36.97% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.05% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.31% ( -0.23) | 56.69% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.35% ( -0.19) | 77.65% ( 0.18) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( 0.03) | 30.43% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.36% ( 0.03) | 66.63% ( -0.03) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( -0.29) | 29.49% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% ( -0.35) | 65.5% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.44% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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