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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Estoril

Chaves
1 - 1
Estoril

Hernandez (39')
Ponck (23'), Langa (28'), Guimaraes (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martins (76')
Carvalho (42'), Rosier (79'), Gouveia (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Chaves
Friday, September 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-1 Porto
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-2 Estoril Praia

Chaves have struggled to get going on home turf, where they are without a win in their three games this season. Meanwhile, Estoril Praia have won their most recent two away games and we predict they will continue this fine form by claiming all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
ChavesDrawEstoril Praia
45.51% (0.498 0.5) 27.97% (-0.099 -0.1) 26.52% (-0.398 -0.4)
Both teams to score 44.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.39% (0.13 0.13)60.6% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.3% (0.099 0.1)80.69% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.31399999999999 0.31)26.62% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14% (0.414 0.41)61.86% (-0.411 -0.41)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.9% (-0.267 -0.27)39.1% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18% (-0.252 -0.25)75.81% (0.254 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 45.5%
    Estoril Praia 26.52%
    Draw 27.95%
ChavesDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 13.77% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.11% (0.117 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 45.5%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.4% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.95%
0-1 @ 9.78% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 26.52%

How you voted: Chaves vs Estoril

Chaves
0.0%
Draw
33.3%
Estoril Praia
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2018 4pm
Chaves
2-0
Estoril
William (17'), Pereira (84')
Pereira (29'), Ferreira (83'), Eustaquio (88')

Rodrigues (32'), Kyriakou (78'), Ribeiro (80')
Sep 23, 2017 4pm
Estoril
0-2
Chaves

Lucao (61'), Evangelista (90')
Bressan (39'), Djavan (68')
May 8, 2017 8pm
Estoril
2-1
Chaves
Claro (72'), Mattheus (87')
Afonso (21'), Mattheus (81'), Graca (92')
Bressan (23')
Filipe (83')
Dec 22, 2016 9pm
Chaves
1-0
Estoril
Martins (68')
Paulinho (18'), Assis (42')

Dankler (25'), Matheus (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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