Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
58.56% ( -0.03) | 22.4% ( -0.02) | 19.04% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.04% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.5% ( 0.17) | 46.5% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.22% ( 0.16) | 68.78% ( -0.15) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.45% ( 0.05) | 15.55% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.5% ( 0.09) | 44.49% ( -0.09) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.62% ( 0.15) | 38.38% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.87% ( 0.15) | 75.13% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 58.55% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 7 | 45 | 50 |
2 | RangersRangers | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 34 |
5 | St Mirren | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 27 |
6 | Motherwell | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
7 | Hibernian | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 25 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 24 |
9 | Dundee | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Ross County | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 22 |
11 | Hearts | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 20 |
12 | St Johnstone | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |