St Johnstone0 - 2Hearts
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
We said: St Johnstone 0-2 Hearts
Hearts won all three meetings between the sides last season - scoring nine - and enter this fixture as favourites once again. St Johnstone need a response after being humbled by lower-league opposition in the League Cup, but they may find it tough against Steven Naismith's men. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
29.67% ( -1.42) | 26.62% ( 0.01) | 43.71% ( 1.41) |
| Both teams to score 50.37% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.73% ( -0.56) | 54.27% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.33% ( -0.47) | 75.67% ( 0.47) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( -1.32) | 33.15% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.25% ( -1.48) | 69.75% ( 1.48) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( 0.46) | 24.66% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.82% ( 0.64) | 59.18% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.67% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.71% |
