Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
42.89% ( -2.55) | 23.44% ( 0.22) | 33.66% ( 2.33) |
Both teams to score 62.85% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.22% ( -0.17) | 38.78% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.91% ( -0.18) | 61.09% ( 0.17) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.52% ( -1.1) | 18.47% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.33% ( -1.89) | 49.67% ( 1.89) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% ( 1.26) | 22.91% ( -1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.33% ( 1.82) | 56.67% ( -1.83) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.61% Total : 42.89% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |