Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hearts in this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
44.52% ( -0.31) | 23.28% ( 0.52) | 32.19% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 62.85% ( -2.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.47% ( -2.63) | 38.53% ( 2.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.17% ( -2.84) | 60.82% ( 2.84) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.3% ( -1.16) | 17.7% ( 1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.64% ( -2.05) | 48.35% ( 2.05) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% ( -1.38) | 23.62% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.29% ( -2.03) | 57.71% ( 2.03) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.91% Total : 44.52% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.5) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.5) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |