Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Aberdeen3 - 0Hearts
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-3 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Celtic
Saturday, March 11 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup
Saturday, March 11 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup
We said: Aberdeen 1-2 Hearts
The uptick in form Robson has been able to coax out of Aberdeen during his interim spell is nothing to sniff at, but the team's recent success has exclusively come against opponents they would reasonably be expected to beat; the Dons have not defeated a team in the top half of the Premiership since the World Cup. If Hearts can shake off the demoralising defeats inflicted by Celtic, they should underline their status as the best of the rest in the Premiership with a win this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
44.82% ( -0.16) | 24.03% ( 0.08) | 31.14% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( -0.32) | 42.56% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.03% ( -0.32) | 64.96% ( 0.32) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0.19) | 19.2% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.12% ( -0.32) | 50.88% ( 0.32) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( -0.1) | 26.21% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.68% ( -0.14) | 61.31% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Aberdeen 44.82%
Hearts 31.14%
Draw 24.02%
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.25% Total : 44.82% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.14% |
How you voted: Aberdeen vs Hearts
Aberdeen
52.4%Draw
11.9%Hearts
35.7%42
