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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Easter Road
Aberdeen logo

Hibernian
6 - 0
Aberdeen

Campbell (10', 15', 88'), Youan (45'), Nisbet (73'), Fish (90+1')
Campbell (64'), Nisbet (80')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Hayes (28'), Shinnie (44'), Scales (61'), Lopes (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hibernian 2-1 Aberdeen

Given Aberdeen's dismal record on the road this season, Hibernian will be confident of inflicting a sixth successive away league defeat on the Dons, piling more pressure on Goodwin and his players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawAberdeen
53.66% (0.16699999999999 0.17) 23.56% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 22.78% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.87% (-0.132 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)46.8% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)69.06% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)17.37% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.23% (0.055 0.05)47.77% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)34.8% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (-0.196 -0.2)71.54% (0.18900000000001 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 53.66%
    Aberdeen 22.78%
    Draw 23.55%
HibernianDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 22.78%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Aberdeen

Hibernian
81.8%
Draw
0.0%
Aberdeen
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 7.30pm
Aberdeen
4-1
Hibernian
Miovski (45+8' pen., 53'), Ramadani (61'), Clarkson (77')
Kukharevych (69')
Marshall (45+8')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Hibernian
3-1
Aberdeen
Boyle (45+1' pen.), Campbell (62', 73')
Lopes (4')
Stewart (27')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
3-1
Hibernian
Ferguson (37' pen., 64' pen.), Besuijen (80')
McCrorie (22'), Bates (28')
Ramsey (20' og.)
Newell (16'), Campbell (62'), Stevenson (66'), Henderson (89')
Porteous (63')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Hibernian
1-0
Aberdeen
Porteous (64')
Gogic (38'), Nisbet (76')

Hedges (88'), Ferguson (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic23193164115360
2RangersRangers23145444182647
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd2310763124737
4Aberdeen2310583233-135
5Motherwell2394102837-931
6Hibernian237883436-229
7Dundee2376103741-427
8St Mirren2383122738-1127
9Kilmarnock2367102537-1225
10Ross County2367102342-1925
11Hearts2366112531-624
12St Johnstone2343162547-2215


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