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Celtic logo
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
St Johnstone logo

Aberdeen
2 - 0
St Johnstone

Lopes (74', 84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carey (21'), MacPherson (62'), Mitchell (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 Ross County
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Dundee Utd
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 1-0 St Johnstone

In a match between two sides who look to be out of sorts, we expect a tight affair that could be decided by a narrow margin at Pittodrie. Aberdeen will do just enough to prevail in the end, giving their supporters something to shout about following a dreadful run of results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawSt Johnstone
59.7% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 22.07% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 18.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.65% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.71% (0.033000000000001 0.03)46.29% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)68.58% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.11% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)43.66% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.84% (0.060000000000002 0.06)39.16% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13% (0.055 0.05)75.87% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 59.69%
    St Johnstone 18.24%
    Draw 22.06%
AberdeenDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.24%
4-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 59.69%
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.06%
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 18.24%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs St Johnstone

Aberdeen
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
St Johnstone
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
St Johnstone
1-0
Aberdeen
Hendry (17')
Hendry (24'), McCart (39'), Davidson (55'), Gordon (68'), Rooney (77')

Bates (45'), Ferguson (87')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
St Johnstone
0-1
Aberdeen

Craig (60'), Rooney (77'), Clark (84')
Jenks (83')
Watkins (76'), Bates (77'), Ramirez (85')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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