Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 22, 2023 at 2pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Hibernian0 - 3Hearts
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Dundee Utd
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 5-0 Aberdeen
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Hibernian 1-2 Hearts
Hearts head into Sunday's Edinburgh derby as favourites considering their strong run of form and recent head-to-head record against rivals Hibs. The hosts will hope that Nisbet can continue his scoring run, but the visitors have a goal machine of their own in Shankland and we can see the Jam Tarts coming out on top to progress to the fifth round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
44.4% ( -0.14) | 24.23% ( 0.05) | 31.37% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.62% ( -0.21) | 43.38% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.22% ( -0.2) | 65.77% ( 0.2) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( -0.14) | 19.71% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.28% ( -0.23) | 51.72% ( 0.23) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( -0.05) | 26.48% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.34% ( -0.06) | 61.66% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Hibernian 44.4%
Hearts 31.37%
Draw 24.23%
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.4% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.37% |
How you voted: Hibernian vs Hearts
Hibernian
31.8%Draw
9.1%Hearts
59.1%22
Form Guide
