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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7
Jan 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle
St Mirren logo

Hearts
1 - 0
St Mirren

McKay (29')
Smith (24'), Snodgrass (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baccus (23'), Main (45'), Gallagher (54'), Reid (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 St Mirren

In a match with consequences at the top end of the Scottish Premiership table, we expect a closely fought encounter that will produce plenty of opportunities for both sides. On this occasion, Hearts will do enough to prevail and claim another precious three points in their hunt for third place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
53.61% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 22.82% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 23.56% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)42.72% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)65.12% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)15.91% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)45.15% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14%31.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)68.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 53.61%
    St Mirren 23.56%
    Draw 22.82%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 5.6%
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.32% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 23.56%

How you voted: Hearts vs St Mirren

Hearts
82.9%
Draw
12.9%
St Mirren
4.3%
70
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Hearts
4-2
St Mirren
Baningime (16'), Haring (29'), McEneff (67'), Simms (85')
Baningime (40')
Brophy (36'), Ronan (62')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
St Mirren
0-2
Hearts

Power (62'), Tait (67')
Ronan (22')
Simms (64'), Devlin (67')
Atkinson (27'), Devlin (62'), Haring (86'), Halkett (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Hearts
2-0
St Mirren
Mackay-Steven (61'), Kingsley (75')
Devlin (68'), Halliday (89')

Shaughnessy (16'), Flynn (62'), Alnwick (90+6')
Shaughnessy (90+5')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
St Mirren
1-2
Hearts
Shaughnessy (85')
Main (90+2')
Dennis (86')
Halliday (16'), Boyce (73')
Haring (28'), Baningime (36')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Ross County183691435-2115
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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