Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
61.34% | 21.88% | 16.78% |
Both teams to score 49.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.14% | 47.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.95% | 70.05% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.9% | 15.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.35% | 43.65% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.16% | 41.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.71% | 78.29% |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 11.94% 2-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 6.2% 4-0 @ 3.36% 4-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 1.27% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.32% Total : 61.33% | 1-1 @ 10.4% 0-0 @ 6.32% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 5.51% 1-2 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |