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Celtic logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Hearts logo

St Mirren
1 - 1
Hearts

Strain (4')
Baccus (41'), O'Hara (56')
Fraser (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Snodgrass (49')
McKay (45+2'), Snodgrass (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-0 St Mirren
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-0 Hibernian
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-2 Hearts

In a match with permutations at the top end of the table, we expect both sides to battle hard and put on an entertaining spectacle in Paisley. On this occasion, Hearts will win the match by a narrow margin and strengthen their bid for continental qualification in the Scottish Premiership. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawHearts
34.03% (0.0020000000000024 0) 27.42%38.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8%56.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75%77.25% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (0.00099999999999056 0)31.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)64.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 34.03%
    Hearts 38.54%
    Draw 27.42%
St MirrenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.03%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 11.11%
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.54%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Hearts

St Mirren
27.3%
Draw
27.3%
Hearts
45.5%
22
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Hearts
4-2
St Mirren
Baningime (16'), Haring (29'), McEneff (67'), Simms (85')
Baningime (40')
Brophy (36'), Ronan (62')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
St Mirren
0-2
Hearts

Power (62'), Tait (67')
Ronan (22')
Simms (64'), Devlin (67')
Atkinson (27'), Devlin (62'), Haring (86'), Halkett (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Hearts
2-0
St Mirren
Mackay-Steven (61'), Kingsley (75')
Devlin (68'), Halliday (89')

Shaughnessy (16'), Flynn (62'), Alnwick (90+6')
Shaughnessy (90+5')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
St Mirren
1-2
Hearts
Shaughnessy (85')
Main (90+2')
Dennis (86')
Halliday (16'), Boyce (73')
Haring (28'), Baningime (36')
Mar 11, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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