Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
34.03% ( 0) | 27.42% | 38.54% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.8% | 56.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.75% | 77.25% ( -0) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.9% ( 0) | 31.09% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.58% ( 0) | 67.42% ( -0) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.68% ( -0) | 28.32% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.95% ( -0) | 64.05% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.03% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |