Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Hibernian win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Celtic |
22.55% ( -0.02) | 22.73% ( -0.01) | 54.72% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.32% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.59% ( 0.03) | 43.41% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.19% ( 0.03) | 65.8% ( -0.03) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.87% ( -0) | 33.13% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.27% ( -0) | 69.73% ( 0) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.23% ( 0.02) | 15.77% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.1% ( 0.04) | 44.9% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.55% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.8% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 54.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |