Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock1 - 0Hibernian
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dundee Utd 4-0 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 0-2 Ross County
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian
In a match with significant permutations in the league standings, we expect both teams to give a good account of themselves as they search for some momentum. Despite this, there will be no separating the teams on the day and both Kilmarnock and Hibernian will have to make do with a point apiece. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
41.72% ( 0.22) | 25.63% ( 0.03) | 32.65% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
