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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Kilmarnock logo

St Mirren
0 - 0
Kilmarnock


Fraser (52'), Dunne (57'), Gogic (75')
FT

Wright (56'), Armstrong (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 4-0 St Mirren
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 2-1 Kilmarnock

In a match with permutations at both ends of the table, both sides will view this as an opportunity to take three points to strengthen their league position. This time round, St Mirren will make the most of their opportunities and claim another victory at the SMISA Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
40.49% (-0.131 -0.13) 29.37% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 30.14% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 42.93% (0.225 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.26% (0.24 0.24)63.74% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17% (0.172 0.17)83% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (0.045999999999992 0.05)30.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82% (0.052 0.05)67.18% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12% (0.283 0.28)37.88% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (0.276 0.28)74.65% (-0.274 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 40.48%
    Kilmarnock 30.14%
    Draw 29.36%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 13.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 40.48%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 11.7% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.36%
0-1 @ 11.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 30.14%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Kilmarnock

St Mirren
93.8%
Draw
6.3%
Kilmarnock
0.0%
16
Head to Head
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
Lafferty (8', 62'), Kiltie (81')
Lafferty (34'), Power (61')
McGrath (63'), MacPherson (78'), Quaner (83')
Finlayson (38')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
St Mirren win 5-4 on penalties
Rossi (37'), Kiltie (44'), Millen (101' pen.)
Oakley (66'), Tshibola (90+3'), Dicker (108')
Durmus (25'), Shaughnessy (84'), McGrath (119' pen.)
McCarthy (82'), McAllister (101'), Alnwick (101')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
St Mirren
Whitehall (12')
Mulumbu (23'), McGowan (89'), Rogers (90+1')
Rogers (90' og.)
McAllister (71'), Doyle-Hayes (90+3')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock

Foley (43'), Fraser (56'), Morias (83'), Sheron (84'), McCarthy (87')
Kabamba (28')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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