Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Juventus |
23.1% ( -0.5) | 25.64% ( -0.06) | 51.26% ( 0.56) |
Both teams to score 47.99% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.22% ( -0.19) | 54.78% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.91% ( -0.15) | 76.09% ( 0.16) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.05% ( -0.57) | 38.95% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.33% ( -0.55) | 75.67% ( 0.55) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.6% ( 0.17) | 21.4% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.6% ( 0.26) | 54.4% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.1% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |