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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Monza

Juventus
2 - 0
Monza

Chiesa (26'), Sandro (28')
Yildiz (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Carboni (38'), Zerbin (67')
Zerbin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 0-1 Frosinone
Sunday, May 19 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-1 Monza

Putting the full stop on an uneven campaign, Juventus can take advantage of Monza's wilting form and finish the season with an overdue win. Then, a busy summer awaits the Bianconeri's new boss, who will be expected to get a well-paid squad back in contention for the Scudetto. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawMonza
62.82% (0.115 0.12) 21.28% (-0.023 -0.02) 15.89% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49.36% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.1% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)46.89% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.85% (-0.067 -0.07)69.15% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68% (0.01100000000001 0.01)14.31% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.86% (0.021999999999998 0.02)42.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.61% (-0.167 -0.17)42.39% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23% (-0.141 -0.14)78.77% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 62.81%
    Monza 15.89%
    Draw 21.28%
JuventusDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.43% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.61% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 62.81%
1-1 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.28%
0-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 15.89%

How you voted: Juventus vs Monza

Juventus
79.0%
Draw
14.8%
Monza
6.2%
81
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Monza
1-2
Juventus
Carboni (90+1')
Kiriakopoulos (9')
Rabiot (12'), Gatti (90+4')
Bremer (30'), Milik (81')
Jan 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 20
Juventus
0-2
Monza
Ciurria (18'), Mota (39')
Jan 19, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Juventus
2-1
Monza
Kean (8'), Chiesa (78')
Valoti (24')
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7AC Milan167542516926
8Bologna156722118325
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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