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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Juventus logo

Roma
1 - 1
Juventus

Lukaku (15')
Weah (0'), Abraham (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bremer (31')
Weah (4'), Rabiot (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Roma 1-1 Juventus

While Juventus have lost all momentum are stuttering towards the end of another troubled season, distracted Roma may have one eye on turning their Europa League semi-final tie around. The hosts also have a woeful record against Italy's other top clubs, so Juve can record a fourth straight Serie A draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
RomaDrawJuventus
32.27% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05) 26.77% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 40.96% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.98% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46% (-0.116 -0.12)53.99% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)75.43% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)31.16% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (-0.111 -0.11)67.49% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)25.95% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)60.95% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Roma 32.27%
    Juventus 40.95%
    Draw 26.76%
RomaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.27%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.09% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.9% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.95%

How you voted: Roma vs Juventus

Roma
38.0%
Draw
28.5%
Juventus
33.6%
137
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Juventus
1-0
Roma
Rabiot (47')
Locatelli (77')

Paredes (68')
Mar 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Roma
1-0
Juventus
Mancini (53')
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Juventus
1-1
Roma
Vlahovic (2')
Locatelli (6'), Kostic (77')
Abraham (69')
Cristante (41'), Celik (90+4')
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
3-4
Juventus
Abraham (11'), Mkhitaryan (48'), Pellegrini (53')
Veretout (50'), Ibanez (51'), Cristante (76')
Dybala (18'), Locatelli (70'), Kulusevski (72'), De Sciglio (77')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Juventus
1-0
Roma
Kean (16')
Szczesny (42'), De Sciglio (49'), Danilo (87')

Abraham (45+3'), El Shaarawy (70'), Shomurodov (85'), Mancini (89'), Karsdorp (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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