Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Frosinone |
44.13% ( -1.44) | 24.2% ( 0.15) | 31.67% ( 1.29) |
Both teams to score 59.26% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.85% ( -0.11) | 43.14% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.46% ( -0.11) | 65.54% ( 0.11) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.27% ( -0.66) | 19.73% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.25% ( -1.07) | 51.75% ( 1.07) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.82% ( 0.77) | 26.17% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.74% ( 1.02) | 61.26% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Frosinone |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.13% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
8 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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