Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Frosinone |
63.55% ( 0.28) | 19.87% ( -0.13) | 16.57% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 55.66% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.68% ( 0.35) | 39.31% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.35% ( 0.36) | 61.65% ( -0.36) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.24% ( 0.18) | 11.75% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.08% ( 0.39) | 36.91% ( -0.38) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.07% ( 0.04) | 36.93% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.28% ( 0.04) | 73.72% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Frosinone |
2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.99% Total : 63.55% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.94% 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.87% | 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 16.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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