Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 at 8pm UK
The Den
Millwall2 - 2Cardiff
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Hull City
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 3-0 Swansea
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 1-2 Cardiff City
Millwall have struggled offensively this season, while Cardiff have had issues at the back, so expect a close-fought affair regardless of the result. That being said, the hosts' lack of attacking output means that they are unlikely to score more than once, so if the visitors find their shooting boots then the game could slip away from the Lions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Cardiff City |
48.54% ( -0.03) | 27.71% ( -0) | 23.75% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.14% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.58% ( 0.03) | 61.42% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.69% ( 0.02) | 81.31% ( -0.02) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( -0) | 25.5% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.66% ( -0) | 60.34% ( -0) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.9% ( 0.04) | 42.09% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.48% ( 0.04) | 78.52% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Millwall 48.53%
Cardiff City 23.75%
Draw 27.7%
| Millwall | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 14.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.04% Total : 48.53% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 1.13% Total : 23.75% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Cardiff
Millwall
31.3%Draw
17.2%Cardiff City
51.6%64
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
