Norwich2 - 1Millwall
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
for
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Norwich City 2-1 Millwall
While Norwich are experiencing a difficult run of form, they tend to perform well in home games with Millwall, and we think that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory to extend their unbeaten record head-to-head home meetings to 21 matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Millwall |
45.12% ( -0.35) | 25.89% ( -0.13) | 28.99% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.31% ( 0.78) | 51.69% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.53% ( 0.68) | 73.46% ( -0.68) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( 0.17) | 22.84% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.42% ( 0.25) | 56.57% ( -0.25) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% ( 0.78) | 32.31% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.19% ( 0.87) | 68.81% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.99% |
