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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Millwall

Latte Lath (10')
Latte Lath (37'), Dijksteel (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanganga (54'), Mitchell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Millwall

Millwall will want to end the Harris era on a high and will move to within three points of Middlesbrough in the standings if they win at the Riverside Stadium this weekend. Although Millwall will be motivated to get the three points, we think that this game ends in a draw - the visitors have more draws than wins so far this season and they are capable of getting a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
48.95% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 26.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 24.83% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.11% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)55.52% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (-0.058 -0.06)76.69% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)22.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)56.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)37.76% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.47% (-0.067 -0.07)74.53% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.95%
    Millwall 24.83%
    Draw 26.21%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 48.95%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 24.83%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
76.3%
Draw
21.1%
Millwall
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Millwall
1-3
Middlesbrough
Bryan (10')
Honeyman (45+4'), Longman (51'), Bryan (80')
Engel (38'), Jones (58'), Forss (90+5')
Engel (66')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
0-1
Millwall

Howson (80')
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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