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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 6
Middlesbrough

Leigh (24'), Scarlett (72')
Moore (35')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Latte Lath (37' pen., 45', 49'), Azaz (42', 83'), Conway (80')
Azaz (27'), Borges (60'), Edmundson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Oxford Utd
Friday, November 8 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Luton
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Middlesbrough

Oxford's form at home will ensure that Middlesbrough are not complacent about facing one of the smaller teams in the division. Nevertheless, we do not think it will be enough to earn more than a share of the spoils, a result that will suit the home side more so than the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
19.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 57.92% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 50.2% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.97% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.78% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)16.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.46% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 19.07%
    Middlesbrough 57.91%
    Draw 23%
Oxford UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 6.1%
2-1 @ 5.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 19.07%
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 11.86%
0-2 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.87%
0-4 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.63%
2-4 @ 1.21%
0-5 @ 1.02%
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 57.91%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Middlesbrough

Oxford United
28.9%
Draw
26.7%
Middlesbrough
44.4%
45
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2017 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Oxford Utd
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Fifth Round
Middlesbrough
3-2
Oxford Utd
Leadbitter (26' pen.), Gestede (34'), Stuani (86')
Ayala (62'), Chambers (71'), Negredo (92')
Maguire (64'), Martinez (66')
Ledson (76'), Johnson (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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