MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 12:54:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 19
Jan 17, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Caen

Ajaccio
2 - 1
Caen

Bamba (70'), Kante (84')
Anziani (41'), Bamba (42'), Santelli (90+3'), Santelli (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendy (62')
Rajot (16'), Traore (43')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Ajaccio and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bastia 4-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, January 11 at 1pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 0-1 Grenoble
Saturday, January 11 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
AjaccioDrawCaen
34.72% (0.93 0.93) 27.61% (-0.199 -0.2) 37.67% (-0.728 -0.73)
Both teams to score 48.93% (0.723 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.18% (0.848 0.85)56.82% (-0.845 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.25% (0.675 0.67)77.75% (-0.67100000000001 -0.67)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.04% (1.04 1.04)30.96% (-1.037 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.74% (1.201 1.2)67.26% (-1.198 -1.2)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.13% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.06% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 34.72%
    Caen 37.67%
    Draw 27.61%
AjaccioDrawCaen
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.183 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.99% (0.154 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.72%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 11.12% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.86% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.67%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Caen

Ajaccio
37.5%
Draw
50.0%
Caen
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 5
Caen
1-0
Ajaccio
Brahimi (80')
Henry (77')

Mabepa Ayessa Ondze (42'), Soumano (85'), Strata (90+6')
Apr 20, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 33
Ajaccio
2-1
Caen
Barreto (20'), Ibayi (45')
Barreto (21'), Sollacaro (90+4')
Mendy (90+5' pen.)
Aug 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Caen
3-0
Ajaccio
Avinel (36' og.), Mendy (45', 63')
Kyeremeh (87')

Bayala (53'), Bammou (66')
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Caen
2-0
Ajaccio
Mendy (65' pen.), Deminguet (90')
Vandermersch (80'), Lepenant (86')
Aug 25, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Ajaccio
2-0
Caen
Botue (1'), Gonzalez (75')
Courtet (53'), Kalulu (85')

Deminguet (53'), Lepenant (70')
Mendy (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient19114431171437
2Metz1997327141334
3Paris FCParis FC1910452718934
4DunkerqueDunkerque1910362824433
5Annecy199642723433
6GuingampGuingamp19102734241032
7Laval1986529191030
8Grenoble198382322127
9PauPau197662221127
10AmiensAmiens198292125-426
11Bastia1951042218425
12Clermont196671720-324
13Rodez AFRodez AF196583132-123
14Red Star196492032-1222
15Troyes1963101922-321
16Ajaccio1953111324-1118
17Caen1943121928-915
18Martigues1933131037-2712


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!