MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 03:21:31| >> :120:10838:10838:
Guingamp
Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 22, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stade du Roudourou
Caen

Guingamp
2 - 1
Caen

Luvambo (80'), Picard (90+2')
Hemia (61'), Demouchy (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendy (86')
Autret (23'), Ntim (28')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 64 clash between Guingamp and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bastia 3-1 Guingamp
Friday, December 13 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Dunkerque 3-1 Caen
Monday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Caen had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.

Result
GuingampDrawCaen
46.42% (-0.453 -0.45) 26.06% (-0.162 -0.16) 27.52% (0.613 0.61)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.92599999999999 0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.82% (0.987 0.99)53.18% (-0.989 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25% (0.831 0.83)74.75% (-0.833 -0.83)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (0.211 0.21)22.88% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.37% (0.313 0.31)56.63% (-0.314 -0.31)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (1.022 1.02)34.23% (-1.024 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (1.08 1.08)70.92% (-1.083 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Guingamp 46.42%
    Caen 27.52%
    Draw 26.06%
GuingampDrawCaen
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.42%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.309 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.64% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.52%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Guingamp
3-1
Caen
Siwe (6'), Picard (67'), Luvambo (78')
Hemia (29'), Siwe (45+4')
Mendy (51')
Henry (33'), M'Vila (47'), Gaucho Debohi (54')
Aug 3, 2024 5pm
Club Friendlies 3
Caen
1-6
Guingamp
Abdi (82')
A. Mendes (27'), Picard (30'), Sabri Guendouz (38'), Louiserre (45+1' pen.), Labeau (61'), Sissoko (90')
Feb 17, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 25
Guingamp
1-0
Caen
Gomis (4')
Sivis (63'), Lobry (89')

Abdi (48'), Daubin (68'), Lebreton (89')
Sep 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 9
Caen
0-1
Guingamp

Thomas (90+4')
Sagna (77')
Gomis (79'), Sidibe (89')
Feb 25, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 25
Guingamp
1-2
Caen
El Ouazzani (54')
Court (19'), Kyeremeh (42')
rhs 2.0
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