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Women's Super League | Gameweek 11
Jan 17, 2025 at 7pm UK
Prenton Park

Liverpool
2 - 1
Brighton

Smith (31'), Carabali (82' og.)
Smith (35'), Kiernan (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Parris (66')
Pattinson (80'), Haley (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's Super League clash between Liverpool Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, December 15 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Spurs
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Liverpool Women 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Liverpool will be desperate to claim their first home win of the WSL season when they play host to the Seagulls on Friday, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw against a side that has made significant progress under Vidosic this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Women win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool Women in this match.

Result
Liverpool WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
41.47% (-1.35 -1.35) 24.07% (0.461 0.46) 34.46% (0.885 0.88)
Both teams to score 60.75% (-1.44 -1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.37% (-1.993 -1.99)41.62% (1.991 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.97% (-2.044 -2.04)64.02% (2.041 2.04)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (-1.424 -1.42)20.28% (1.422 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (-2.321 -2.32)52.63% (2.319 2.32)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (-0.43900000000001 -0.44)23.8% (0.437 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.03% (-0.632 -0.63)57.97% (0.631 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool Women 41.47%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 34.46%
    Draw 24.07%
Liverpool WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
1-0 @ 7.7% (0.351 0.35)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 41.47%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.421 0.42)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.165 0.17)
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.522 0.52)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.316 0.32)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.122 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Brighton

Liverpool Women
62.5%
Draw
37.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion Women
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 14
Brighton
0-1
Liverpool
Holland (53')
Fahey (57'), Fisk (57'), Holland (68')
Holland (90+3')
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Liverpool
4-0
Brighton
Bonner (27'), Van de Sanden (43'), Holland (63'), Roman Haug (90+2')
Lundgaard (90')

Carabali (10')
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Liverpool
2-1
Brighton
Holland (54', 70')
Terland (39')
Nov 20, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Brighton
3-3
Liverpool
Terland (21'), Carter (26' pen.), Robinson (34')
Bo Kearns (17'), Van de Sanden (76'), Furness (90+2')
Apr 26, 2020 12pm
rhs 2.0
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