We say: Lazio 2-1 Fiorentina
As well as being imperious in Europe, Lazio have lost just once as hosts all season, so an off-colour Fiorentina team are unlikely to defeat them.
The Biancocelesti have also scored the most goals during the last 15 minutes in Serie A - 13 so far - meaning they will fight right through to the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Lazio has a probability of 34.65% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Lazio win is 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.93%).
0.1) 
-0.22) 
