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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 26, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter logo

Lecce
vs.
Inter Milan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 4-1 Lecce
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We say: Lecce 0-2 Inter Milan

Simone Inzaghi should reach 200 Serie A wins after 331 games - which would surpass the record currently held by Max Allegri (338) - as Inter are set for a Sunday stroll to victory. Even if Lecce can initially keep their visitors at arm's length, they have conceded the most goals after half time this season; meanwhile, Inter rank first for goals scored during the second half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.61%. A draw has a probability of 17.1% and a win for Lecce has a probability of 8.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 0-2 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (13.82%) and 0-3 (11.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Lecce win it is 1-0 (3.62%).

Result
LecceDrawInter Milan
8.28% (-1.48 -1.48) 17.11% (-1.38 -1.38) 74.61% (2.858 2.86)
Both teams to score 38.76% (-1.679 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.15% (1.272 1.27)47.85% (-1.276 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (1.16 1.16)70.03% (-1.164 -1.16)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.65% (-2.49 -2.49)56.35% (2.485 2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.33% (-1.485 -1.49)88.67% (1.481 1.48)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.79% (1.148 1.15)11.21% (-1.152 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.27% (2.461 2.46)35.73% (-2.464 -2.46)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 8.28%
    Inter Milan 74.6%
    Draw 17.11%
LecceDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 3.62% (-0.496 -0.5)
2-1 @ 2.27% (-0.391 -0.39)
2-0 @ 1.04% (-0.235 -0.24)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 8.28%
1-1 @ 7.93% (-0.684 -0.68)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.341 -0.34)
2-2 @ 2.49% (-0.297 -0.3)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 17.11%
0-2 @ 15.12% (0.57 0.57)
0-1 @ 13.82% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 11.03% (0.89 0.89)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.327 -0.33)
1-3 @ 6.33% (0.055 0.05)
0-4 @ 6.04% (0.737 0.74)
1-4 @ 3.46% (0.183 0.18)
0-5 @ 2.64% (0.426 0.43)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-5 @ 1.52% (0.144 0.14)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-6 @ 0.96% (0.191 0.19)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 74.6%

Who will win Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter Milan?

Lecce
Draw
Inter Milan
Lecce
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Inter Milan
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Inter Milan
2-0
Lecce
Darmian (5'), Calhanoglu (69' pen.)

Gallo (31'), Banda (60')
Feb 25, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 26
Lecce
0-4
Inter Milan

Sansone (2')
Martinez (15', 56'), Frattesi (54'), De Vrij (67')
Asllani (38'), Mkhitaryan (63')
Dec 23, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
2-0
Lecce
Aurel Bisseck (43'), Barella (78')
Inzaghi (16'), Calhanoglu (30')

Gonzalez (15'), Piccoli (64'), Pongracic (74')
Banda (83')
Mar 5, 2023 5pm
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
1-2
Inter Milan
Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')
Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese217592432-826
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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