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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Salford City |
39.8% ( 0.19) | 25.28% ( 0.03) | 34.92% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 56.56% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.88% ( -0.14) | 47.11% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.65% ( -0.14) | 69.35% ( 0.14) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% ( 0.03) | 23.45% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.53% ( 0.05) | 57.46% ( -0.05) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.89% ( -0.19) | 26.11% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.82% ( -0.26) | 61.18% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.32% Total : 34.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |