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Cheltenham Town
EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Salford City

Cheltenham
3 - 1
Salford City

Broom (44'), Sercombe (65'), Goodwin (66')
Southwood (36'), Bradbury (45+3'), Taylor (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hendry (13')
Vassell (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Cheltenham Town and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Salford City

With Salford City firmly involved in the intensely competitive League Two playoff battle, we predict that The Ammies will be able to take their league form into the semi-finals of the EFL Trophy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawSalford City
34.04% (0.267 0.27) 25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 40.95% (-0.25 -0.25)
Both teams to score 57.31% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95% (0.146 0.15)46.05% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (0.137 0.14)68.35% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (0.232 0.23)26.13% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (0.307 0.31)61.2% (-0.307 -0.31)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)22.41% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)55.93% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 34.04%
    Salford City 40.95%
    Draw 25%
Cheltenham TownDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 34.04%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25%
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.55% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.95%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Salford City

Cheltenham Town
48.0%
Draw
12.0%
Salford City
40.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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