Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.