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Championship header 2

League Two
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Carlisle United

Salford City
1 - 4
Carlisle

Smith (52')
Nartey (45+2'), Leak (65'), Hendry (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (3', 80'), Guy (67'), Whelan (72')
Guy (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-3 Peterborough
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-2 Carlisle United

 Salford have endured a torrid time in front of goal in recent weeks and we expect Carlisle to take full advantage of that on Saturday. We think the Cumbrians will be too strong for the Ammies, and Salford's goal drought will continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
41.93% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 26.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.79% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.37% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)52.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)73.86% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)24.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.010000000000005 0.01)59.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)30.55% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)66.77% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 41.92%
    Carlisle United 31.79%
    Draw 26.27%
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 41.92%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.79%

How you voted: Salford City vs Carlisle

Salford City
27.8%
Draw
33.3%
Carlisle United
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Salford City
2-1
Carlisle
Watson (52' pen.), Smith (71')
Patrick (67')
Feeney (62'), Riley (82')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Dickenson (8'), Mellish (60')
Abrahams (29'), Clough (37'), Guy (84')
Morris (44')
Turnbull (39'), Lowe (70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Salford City
1-1
Carlisle
Wilson (79')
Touray (17'), Turnbull (58')
Tanner (11')
Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (55')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Alessandra (33'), Bennett (55')
Guy (2'), Mellish (36'), Kayode (45'), Tanner (66')
Dieseruvwe (90')
Touray (64'), Bernard (88')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Salford City
P-P
Carlisle
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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