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Championship header 2

League Two
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Carlisle United

Salford City
1 - 4
Carlisle

Smith (52')
Nartey (45+2'), Leak (65'), Hendry (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (3', 80'), Guy (67'), Whelan (72')
Guy (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-3 Peterborough
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-2 Carlisle United

 Salford have endured a torrid time in front of goal in recent weeks and we expect Carlisle to take full advantage of that on Saturday. We think the Cumbrians will be too strong for the Ammies, and Salford's goal drought will continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
41.93% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 26.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.79% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.37% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)52.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)73.86% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)24.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.010000000000005 0.01)59.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)30.55% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)66.77% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 41.92%
    Carlisle United 31.79%
    Draw 26.27%
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 41.92%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.79%

How you voted: Salford City vs Carlisle

Salford City
27.8%
Draw
33.3%
Carlisle United
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Salford City
2-1
Carlisle
Watson (52' pen.), Smith (71')
Patrick (67')
Feeney (62'), Riley (82')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Dickenson (8'), Mellish (60')
Abrahams (29'), Clough (37'), Guy (84')
Morris (44')
Turnbull (39'), Lowe (70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Salford City
1-1
Carlisle
Wilson (79')
Touray (17'), Turnbull (58')
Tanner (11')
Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (55')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Alessandra (33'), Bennett (55')
Guy (2'), Mellish (36'), Kayode (45'), Tanner (66')
Dieseruvwe (90')
Touray (64'), Bernard (88')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Salford City
P-P
Carlisle
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall21144339192046
2Port Vale2210752721637
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2210663126536
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe219842518735
5AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
6Chesterfield2297636251134
7Notts County219753021934
8Grimsby Town22111103034-434
9Salford City219662519633
10Bradford CityBradford218762623331
11MK Dons209383328530
12Bromley217953025530
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham228683131030
15Colchester UnitedColchester2151152522326
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood206862625126
17BarrowBarrow217592021-126
18Newport CountyNewport217592936-726
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2263131834-1621
21Swindon TownSwindon2248102736-920
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Morecambe2245132038-1817
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2136121533-1815
> League Two Full Table


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