MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 20:11:18| >> :120:67054:67054:
Real Sociedad logo
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 30, 2025 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
PAOK

Real Sociedad
2 - 0
PAOK

Oskarsson (43', 48')
Odriozola (39'), Ander Olasagasti (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ozdoyev (6'), Brandon (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Real Sociedad and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAOK 1-0 Levadiakos
Sunday, January 26 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague

We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 PAOK

PAOK may have won their last three European matches, but they have lost two of their three away games in the league phase, and with that in mind, we think that they will fall just short against a Real Sociedad side that have won their previous two home Europa League fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawPAOK
44.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.01% (0.0030000000000001 0) 29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 51.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.18% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)73.89% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.13% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)56.99% (0.012 0.01)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)32.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)69.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 44.98%
    PAOK 29.01%
    Draw 26.01%
Real SociedadDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 44.98%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.01%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs PAOK

Real Sociedad
Draw
PAOK
Real Sociedad
75.9%
Draw
12.9%
PAOK
11.2%
116
rhs 2.0
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