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Walsall
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Moor Lane
Carlisle United

Salford City
2 - 1
Carlisle

Watson (52' pen.), Smith (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Patrick (67')
Feeney (62'), Riley (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Salford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Salford City 2-1 Carlisle United

Carlisle have struggled on the road this term, losing eight of their 13 away league games, while Salford have lost only three matches at the Peninsula Stadium in League Two this season. Although the Ammies have been inconsistent in recent weeks, we think that they will utilise home advantage to edge out the Cumbrians on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Salford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Salford City.

Result
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
46.02%26.13%27.84%
Both teams to score 50.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72%53.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17%74.82%
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89%23.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04%56.95%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98%34.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3%70.7%
Score Analysis
    Salford City 46.02%
    Carlisle United 27.84%
    Draw 26.12%
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.02%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.86%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 8.47%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.57%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 27.84%

How you voted: Salford City vs Carlisle

Salford City
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Carlisle United
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Dickenson (8'), Mellish (60')
Abrahams (29'), Clough (37'), Guy (84')
Morris (44')
Turnbull (39'), Lowe (70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Salford City
1-1
Carlisle
Wilson (79')
Touray (17'), Turnbull (58')
Tanner (11')
Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (55')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 15
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Alessandra (33'), Bennett (55')
Guy (2'), Mellish (36'), Kayode (45'), Tanner (66')
Dieseruvwe (90')
Touray (64'), Bernard (88')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Carlisle
2-2
Salford City
Olomola (7'), Scougall (43')
Dieseruvwe (28'), Whitehead (33' pen.)
Wiseman (4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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