Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma5 - 0Parma
We said: Roma 2-1 Parma
Roma's home form is totally hit-and-miss, having both won and lost four times at the Olimpico in Serie A, but they surely cannot slip up against Parma. The visitors have produced just one win from seven road trips since earning promotion, and their soft centre is set to cost them again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Parma had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Parma |
65.95% ( 0.05) | 19.42% ( -0) | 14.62% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
