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Venezia
Venezia
Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Parma logo

Venezia
1 - 2
Parma

Nicolussi (5')
Andersen (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Valeri (17'), Bonny (68')
Cancellieri (50'), Charpentier (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Venezia
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Genoa
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Venezia 2-2 Parma

Though Parma are more potent than their hosts up front, they have consistently paid for some costly slip-ups, losing seven points from leading positions away from home. For all their flaws, Venezia are yet to drop points from in front at Stadio Penzo, and they should at least secure a home draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
VeneziaDrawParma
44.25% (-0.131 -0.13) 24.95% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 30.8% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)46.88% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)69.13% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)21.22% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88% (-0.144 -0.14)54.12% (0.141 0.14)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03)64.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 44.25%
    Parma 30.8%
    Draw 24.95%
VeneziaDrawParma
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.8%

How you voted: Venezia vs Parma

Venezia
48.6%
Draw
35.1%
Parma
16.2%
37
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 23
Parma
2-1
Venezia
Mihaila (21'), Camara (90+10')
Di Chiara (90+8'), Camara (90+11')
Oct 7, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Venezia
3-2
Parma
Busio (46'), Tessmann (63'), Egill Ellertsson (78')
Benedyczak (54' pen.), Colak (90+3')
Hernani (35'), Di Chiara (36')
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Parma
2-1
Venezia
Vazquez (12' pen.), Camara (78')
Bernabe (25'), Camara (89')
Dec 26, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 19
Venezia
2-2
Parma
Pohjanpalo (70'), Pierini (82')
Vazquez (45' pen., 50')
Aug 17, 2019 5pm
Third Round
Parma
3-1
Venezia
Gervinho (10', 72'), Iacoponi (22')
Alves (61'), Grassi (86')
Aramu (24' pen.)
Capello (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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