Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Como | Draw | Parma |
43.8% ( -2.04) | 25.88% ( 0.04) | 30.32% ( 2) |
Both teams to score 52.98% ( 1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.94% ( 0.83) | 51.06% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% ( 0.72) | 72.91% ( -0.72) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.8% ( -0.6) | 23.2% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.9% ( -0.89) | 57.1% ( 0.89) |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.98% ( 1.9) | 31.02% ( -1.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.67% ( 2.17) | 67.33% ( -2.16) |
Score Analysis |
Como | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.55) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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