Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Como had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Como |
71.44% ( -0.06) | 17.72% ( 0.03) | 10.84% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 46.76% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.23% ( -0.03) | 42.77% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.83% ( -0.03) | 65.17% ( 0.04) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.34% ( -0.02) | 10.65% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.48% ( -0.06) | 34.51% ( 0.06) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.33% ( 0.04) | 47.66% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.01% ( 0.03) | 82.98% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Como |
2-0 @ 12.73% 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 71.44% | 1-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 17.72% | 0-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 10.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
6 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |