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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
51.32% ( 4.99) | 23.82% ( -1.22) | 24.85% ( -3.77) |
Both teams to score 55.42% ( 0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.1% ( 2.51) | 45.89% ( -2.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.79% ( 2.33) | 68.2% ( -2.33) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.1% ( 3.02) | 17.9% ( -3.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.3% ( 4.96) | 48.7% ( -4.95) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.5% ( -1.62) | 32.49% ( 1.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.98% ( -1.85) | 69.02% ( 1.86) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 10% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.71) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.81) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.49) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.51) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.23) Other @ 3.58% Total : 51.32% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.63) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -1.05) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.66) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.79) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.37) Other @ 2.53% Total : 24.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |